2024 Presidential Election Polls: Who's Ahead?

Current Polling Averages

The 270toWin Polling Average tracks the latest presidential election polls for each state and the national average. This page displays the current polling average for each candidate, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology, and house effect.

Methodology

The 270toWin Polling Average uses a weighted average to calculate the overall polling average for each candidate. The weight of each poll is determined by its recency, sample size, methodology, and house effect. Polls that are more recent, have larger sample sizes, use more rigorous methodologies, and are conducted by more reputable polling firms are given more weight in the average.

Disclaimer

The 270toWin Polling Average is a nonpartisan analysis of the latest presidential election polls. The average is not a prediction of the outcome of the election, and it should not be used as a basis for making betting or investment decisions.